中国牵头团队研究报告称“地震涟漪”预测地震成功率达83%
China-led team hits 83% success rate anticipating earthquakes in ‘seismo-ripples’ study
中国牵头的国际团队报告了一种地震前现象“地震涟漪”，并称自2022年以来，它对大地震的预测成功率达83%，失败次数较少。这些环状扰动模式由地震前出现的地震、磁场和电离层共振异常信号构成，研究发表于《NPJ Natural Hazards》。
研究将地震前出现的地震、磁场和电离层共振异常信号称为“地震涟漪”，并报告其对大地震的预测表现，为理解地震预测提供了具体线索。
A China-led international team has reported a new pre-earthquake phenomenon that has shown strong predictive potential for major earthquakes since 2022 with minimal failures.
The anomalous seismic, magnetic and ionospheric resonance signals they observed – termed “seismo-ripples” by the researchers – are ringlike disturbance patterns triggered before earthquakes happen.
Their findings challenge the long-standing scientific belief that these events are unpredictable, opening up a promising new path to earthquake prediction.
“Historically, earthquake prediction has been considered nearly infeasible,” said the team from institutes in mainland China and Taiwan, along with Brazil and Japan, in a paper published in the peer-reviewed journal NPJ Natural Hazards on Sunday.
来源：南华早报 · scmp.com